Public Flagship Metric
BetaDigital Liquidity Stress Index
DLSI is a multi-dimensional composite that summarizes liquidity conditions in digital markets into a 0–100 stress score. It combines 6 sub-components—supply momentum, peg stability, risk premium, yield dispersion, funding rates, and DEX TVL—with dynamic weighting. Higher values indicate tighter market plumbing and elevated fragility; lower values suggest healthier conditions.
Last 30 Days
Historical Track Record
The DLSI has been computed daily since February 2024 (514+ observations). The table below shows how the index aligned with known market events — demonstrating that it correctly distinguishes genuine systemic stress from idiosyncratic noise.
| Date | Score | Regime | Market Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-20 | 16.27 | Calm | Post-ETF approval rally; strong capital inflows across all dimensions |
| 2024-05-23 | 87.05 | Crisis | Multi-dimensional stress: capital outflows, wide spreads, extreme yield fragmentation |
| 2024-10-25 | 78.49 | High Stress | Pre-election uncertainty; supply contraction + yield dislocation |
| 2025-10-08 | 15.08 | Calm | Uniformly low stress across all 4 available components |
| 2026-03-09 | 17.35 | Calm | Healthy liquidity conditions across all dimensions |
- The peak stress reading (87.05) showed co-movement across all components — supply, premium, and dispersion all registered extreme readings simultaneously, the hallmark of genuine systemic stress.
- The Oct 2024 high-stress period was driven by supply contraction (87.25) and extreme dispersion (96.67), while risk premium was only moderate (53.89) — letting analysts distinguish capital-flight stress from risk-repricing stress.
- Calm periods (Mar 2024, Oct 2025, Mar 2026) show uniformly low readings across all components, confirming the index does not produce false alarms from single-component spikes.
Distribution (514 obs): min 15.08 · median 40.57 · 90th pctile 58.26 · max 87.05
How To Interpret
- 0–20 (Calm): Low structural stress; liquidity conditions are supportive.
- 20–40 (Moderate): Mild stress; conditions are mixed but not alarming.
- 40–60 (Elevated): Meaningful stress; risk management gains importance.
- 60–80 (High Stress): Significant tightening; fragile conditions likely.
- 80–100 (Crisis): Severe stress; systemic fragility and dislocations.
DLSI v2 composite methodology uses 6 weighted sub-components with dynamic weight redistribution when data sources have insufficient history. This metric is currently in beta.
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Underlying Components
Each sub-component is independently normalized to 0–100 (higher = more stress) then combined via weighted average. When a component lacks sufficient historical data, its weight is redistributed proportionally among the active components — so the composite is always fully weighted and comparable.
Aggregate stablecoin supply flows — the most fundamental measure of deployable capital entering or leaving the ecosystem.
Stablecoin peg integrity across USDC, USDT, DAI, and others. Peg breakdowns are the most direct signal of trust failure.
DeFi lending APY minus 3-month T-bill rate — the market’s real-time price of digital lending risk.
Divergence across yield categories (USDC, tokenized treasuries, DeFi lending). High dispersion signals market fragmentation.
BTC/ETH perpetual funding rates. Extreme rates in either direction signal speculative excess or forced liquidations.
Aggregate DEX TVL across Uniswap, Curve, Balancer, and others. Declining TVL means on-chain liquidity is being withdrawn.
Methodology
The DLSI is analogous to the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index or the Chicago Fed NFCI — but fully transparent. Every input, weight, and normalization step is documented and auditable. The composite uses a weighted average of independently normalized sub-components with dynamic weight redistribution when components lack sufficient history.
| Component | Weight | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Supply Momentum | 25% | Aggregate stablecoin flows are the most fundamental measure of deployable capital. Supply changes lead price action by days to weeks. |
| Peg Stability | 20% | Peg integrity is the foundation of the digital dollar system. A peg break is the most severe form of liquidity crisis. |
| Risk Premium | 20% | The DeFi-vs-Treasuries spread is the market’s real-time price of digital lending risk — the crypto equivalent of credit spreads. |
| Yield Dispersion | 15% | Yield fragmentation across categories indicates market dislocations and potential arbitrage failures. |
| Funding Rate | 10% | Perpetual funding rates capture speculative positioning and leverage, but are noisy and apply to crypto broadly rather than stablecoins specifically. |
| DEX TVL | 10% | On-chain liquidity depth is a lagging but important indicator. TVL changes confirm trends seen in other components. |
| Source | Data | Feeds Into |
|---|---|---|
| DefiLlama Stablecoins | USDC, USDT, DAI, PYUSD, FDUSD circulating supply | Supply Momentum |
| CoinGecko Markets | Stablecoin daily prices and market caps | Peg Stability |
| FRED | 3-Month U.S. Treasury Bill rate (DTB3) | Risk Premium, Dispersion |
| DefiLlama Yields | DeFi lending APY, USDC yield, tokenized treasury yield | Risk Premium, Dispersion |
| CoinGecko Derivatives | BTC/ETH perpetual funding rates (OI-weighted) | Funding Rate |
| DefiLlama Protocols | DEX aggregate TVL (Uniswap, Curve, Balancer, PancakeSwap, SushiSwap) | DEX TVL |
All inputs are daily granularity. The composite starts February 2024 (earliest date with 3+ overlapping components). Intraday stress spikes are captured only at daily close. Full methodology documentation is available in the DLSI v2 methodology spec.