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Digital Liquidity Stress Index

DLSI is a multi-dimensional composite that summarizes liquidity conditions in digital markets into a 0–100 stress score. It combines 6 sub-components—supply momentum, peg stability, risk premium, yield dispersion, funding rates, and DEX TVL—with dynamic weighting. Higher values indicate tighter market plumbing and elevated fragility; lower values suggest healthier conditions.

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Current Score
53.6
Regime
Elevated
30D Change
+32.1
Last Updated
4/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM
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Last 30 Days

Historical Track Record

The DLSI has been computed daily since February 2024 (514+ observations). The table below shows how the index aligned with known market events — demonstrating that it correctly distinguishes genuine systemic stress from idiosyncratic noise.

DateScoreRegimeMarket Context
2024-03-2016.27CalmPost-ETF approval rally; strong capital inflows across all dimensions
2024-05-2387.05CrisisMulti-dimensional stress: capital outflows, wide spreads, extreme yield fragmentation
2024-10-2578.49High StressPre-election uncertainty; supply contraction + yield dislocation
2025-10-0815.08CalmUniformly low stress across all 4 available components
2026-03-0917.35CalmHealthy liquidity conditions across all dimensions
Key Observations
  • The peak stress reading (87.05) showed co-movement across all components — supply, premium, and dispersion all registered extreme readings simultaneously, the hallmark of genuine systemic stress.
  • The Oct 2024 high-stress period was driven by supply contraction (87.25) and extreme dispersion (96.67), while risk premium was only moderate (53.89) — letting analysts distinguish capital-flight stress from risk-repricing stress.
  • Calm periods (Mar 2024, Oct 2025, Mar 2026) show uniformly low readings across all components, confirming the index does not produce false alarms from single-component spikes.

Distribution (514 obs): min 15.08 · median 40.57 · 90th pctile 58.26 · max 87.05

How To Interpret

DLSI v2 composite methodology uses 6 weighted sub-components with dynamic weight redistribution when data sources have insufficient history. This metric is currently in beta.

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Underlying Components

Each sub-component is independently normalized to 0–100 (higher = more stress) then combined via weighted average. When a component lacks sufficient historical data, its weight is redistributed proportionally among the active components — so the composite is always fully weighted and comparable.

Supply Momentum Stress(25%)Active
42.1

Aggregate stablecoin supply flows — the most fundamental measure of deployable capital entering or leaving the ecosystem.

Peg Stability Stress(20%)Active
3.5

Stablecoin peg integrity across USDC, USDT, DAI, and others. Peg breakdowns are the most direct signal of trust failure.

Risk Premium Stress(20%)Active
99.4

DeFi lending APY minus 3-month T-bill rate — the market’s real-time price of digital lending risk.

Yield Dispersion Stress(15%)Active
98.9

Divergence across yield categories (USDC, tokenized treasuries, DeFi lending). High dispersion signals market fragmentation.

Funding Rate Stress(10%)Accumulating
--

BTC/ETH perpetual funding rates. Extreme rates in either direction signal speculative excess or forced liquidations.

Building history — not yet contributing to score
DEX TVL Stress(10%)Active
23

Aggregate DEX TVL across Uniswap, Curve, Balancer, and others. Declining TVL means on-chain liquidity is being withdrawn.

Methodology

The DLSI is analogous to the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index or the Chicago Fed NFCI — but fully transparent. Every input, weight, and normalization step is documented and auditable. The composite uses a weighted average of independently normalized sub-components with dynamic weight redistribution when components lack sufficient history.

Weight Rationale
ComponentWeightRationale
Supply Momentum25%Aggregate stablecoin flows are the most fundamental measure of deployable capital. Supply changes lead price action by days to weeks.
Peg Stability20%Peg integrity is the foundation of the digital dollar system. A peg break is the most severe form of liquidity crisis.
Risk Premium20%The DeFi-vs-Treasuries spread is the market’s real-time price of digital lending risk — the crypto equivalent of credit spreads.
Yield Dispersion15%Yield fragmentation across categories indicates market dislocations and potential arbitrage failures.
Funding Rate10%Perpetual funding rates capture speculative positioning and leverage, but are noisy and apply to crypto broadly rather than stablecoins specifically.
DEX TVL10%On-chain liquidity depth is a lagging but important indicator. TVL changes confirm trends seen in other components.
Data Sources
SourceDataFeeds Into
DefiLlama StablecoinsUSDC, USDT, DAI, PYUSD, FDUSD circulating supplySupply Momentum
CoinGecko MarketsStablecoin daily prices and market capsPeg Stability
FRED3-Month U.S. Treasury Bill rate (DTB3)Risk Premium, Dispersion
DefiLlama YieldsDeFi lending APY, USDC yield, tokenized treasury yieldRisk Premium, Dispersion
CoinGecko DerivativesBTC/ETH perpetual funding rates (OI-weighted)Funding Rate
DefiLlama ProtocolsDEX aggregate TVL (Uniswap, Curve, Balancer, PancakeSwap, SushiSwap)DEX TVL

All inputs are daily granularity. The composite starts February 2024 (earliest date with 3+ overlapping components). Intraday stress spikes are captured only at daily close. Full methodology documentation is available in the DLSI v2 methodology spec.